National Association of Realtors shows statistics that Pending Home Sales and Affordability are on the Rise
According to NAR, as the first-time home buyers have begun to take advantage of their $8,000 tax credit, the historically low interest rates and good housing affordability conditions, the pending home sales have been rising.
The Pending Home Sales Index, a forward-looking indicator based on contracts signed in March, increased 3.2 percent to 84.6 from a level of 82.0 in February, and is 1.1 percent higher than March 2008 when it was 83.7.
Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, says it should take a few months for the market to gain momentum. “This increase could be the leading edge of first-time buyers responding to very favorable affordability conditions and an $8,000 tax credit, which increases buying power even more in areas where special programs allow buyers to use it as a down payment,” he says. “We need several months of sustained growth to demonstrate a recovery in housing, which is necessary for the overall economy to turn around.”
NAR’s Housing Affordability Index remained near record highs. The affordability index was 166.7 in March – down from an upwardly revised record of 174.4 in February due to higher home prices in March. The index remains 30.8 percentage points higher than a year ago. The HAI is a broad measure of housing affordability using consistent values and assumptions over time, which examines the relationship between home prices, mortgage interest rates and family income; tracking began in 1970.
Here is a breakdown of pending home sales by region:
- South: rose 8.5 percent to 93.2 in March and is 7.7 percent above a year ago.
- West: increased 3.9 percent to 93.1 and is 1.7 percent higher than March 2008.
- Northeast: fell 5.7 percent to 59.5 in March and is 24.1 percent below a year ago.
- Midwest: slipped 1 percent to 82.3 but is 8.2 percent higher than March 2008.
We’re not surprised to see the South showing the best returns. In our area prices have dipped slightly from the highest sales prices in 2007, but have continued to have strong values for homes overall. The biggest difference in the Charlotte and Fort Mill areas is that while we did see price increases over the last years above our normal 2-4% increase per year, ours did not get out of hand like other areas of the country. Thus, it took us the longest to slow down, and it isn’t surprising to be picking up forward momentum first.



